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How managers can deal with complex issues: a semi-quantitative analysis method of causal loop diagrams based on matrices

机译:管理者如何处理复杂的问题:基于矩阵的因果图的半定量分析方法

摘要

The increasing complexity of the modern world creates both higher risks and new interdependencies in the socioeconomic environment. To cope with these challenges powerful new tools must be applied to find sustainable solutions. System dynamics is a field that offers potential assistance in dealing with complex issues. However, managers and politicians often lack the knowledge and necessary skills to apply quantitative methods in their decision-making process. In contrast, qualitative approaches are easily understood and handled but have limited capacities for analysis. To address this gap, we have developed a bundle of tools tailored for managers and politicians facing complex problems. These tools enable executives to recognize effective levers and assess potential consequences of specific interventions in a highly interconnected system. The approach detailed here equips decision makers with a powerful method to develop, test, and communicate strategies to find long-term sustainable solutions for complex issues in business and society.
机译:现代世界日益复杂,在社会经济环境中既产生了更高的风险,又产生了新的相互依存关系。为了应对这些挑战,必须使用功能强大的新工具来找到可持续的解决方案。系统动力学是为处理复杂问题提供潜在帮助的领域。但是,管理人员和政治人物通常缺乏在决策过程中采用定量方法的知识和必要技能。相反,定性方法易于理解和处理,但分析能力有限。为了解决这一差距,我们开发了一系列针对面临复杂问题的管理者和政客量身定制的工具。这些工具使管理人员能够识别有效的杠杆,并评估高度互联的系统中特定干预措施的潜在后果。此处详细介绍的方法为决策者提供了一种强大的方法来开发,测试和交流策略,以为企业和社会中的复杂问题找到长期的可持续解决方案。

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